主讲人：
Prof. Sallie Keller-McNulty
Dean, George R. Brown School of Engineering, Rice University, USA
演讲题目：Reliability for the 21st Century
时间：2009年3月18日下午14：30—16：00
地点：四平路校区逸夫楼113
The sophistication of science and technology is growing almost exponentially. Government and industry are relying more and more on science’s advanced methods to assess reliability coupled with performance, safety, surety, cost, schedule, etc. Unfortunately, policy, cost, schedule, and other constraints imposed by the real world inhibit the ability of researchers to calculate these metrics efficiently and accurately using traditional methods. Because of such constraints, reliability must undergo an evolutionary change. The first step in this evolution is to reinterpret the concepts and responsibilities of scientists responsible for reliability calculations to meet the new century’s needs. The next step is to mount a multidisciplinary approach to the quantification of reliability and its associated metrics using both empirical methods and auxiliary data sources, such as expert knowledge, corporate memory, and mathematical modeling and simulation.
